Who are the winners in the 60% base case?
Companies that used AI to augment rather than replace human developers. These organizations maintain their junior talent pipelines, avoid the massive code churn crisis, and capture sustained efficiency gains without incinerating institutional engineering memory.
Answered in
The Three Futures of the AI Boom: Bull, Bear, and the 60% Middle PathStifel gives 2026 a 25% bull case, a 15% bear case and a 60% constructive base case. What each path could mean for AI companies and developers.
Read the full analysisOther questions this article answers
More how ai actually works questions
- What are the three scenarios for the AI economy?
- What happens in the 25% Bull Case?
- What would trigger the 15% Bear Case crash?
- What does the 60% base case look like?
- Why is BitNet called 1.58-bit?
- Can any existing model be converted to BitNet?
- Does GraphRAG eliminate hallucinations?
- When is GraphRAG useful?
Every answer on Crashtech is written by the editor of the article it comes from — never auto-summarised. Browse all answers or the How AI Actually Works beat.